Why Is That Old Toy Worth $200 When This One Is Worth $10?
If you spend enough time around old toys, eventually you'll come across something that makes absolutely no sense.
Two toys can be roughly the same age, made by similar companies, and sitting right beside each other — except one is worth $20 and the other is worth $200.
Why?
The slightly frustrating answer is: a whole lot of things.
After years of buying, selling and researching vintage toys, I've learned that there isn't one simple rule that determines what something is worth. Age matters. Rarity matters. Condition matters. Demand matters.
But none of those things works entirely on its own.
Old doesn't mean cheap — but it doesn't automatically mean valuable either
One thing I've noticed is that people sometimes assume an old toy should be worth less simply because it's old.
It's used. The box is gone. It might have some paint wear. Surely a new toy should be worth more?
Collectors know it doesn't quite work like that.
If something hasn't been made for 30 or 40 years and thousands of people would quite like to own it again, suddenly the fact that it's old becomes part of the reason it's valuable.
But being old alone isn't enough.
There are plenty of old toys worth very little.
You could have something genuinely difficult to find that's been sitting in someone's cupboard since 1985 — but if nobody is looking for it, rarity isn't going to magically make it worth hundreds of dollars.
Which brings us to probably the biggest factor of all.
Someone has to actually want it
Rarity and demand are two completely different things.
Something can be incredibly rare and have very little value because hardly anyone collects it.
Meanwhile, another toy might not be particularly rare at all, but thousands of people want one.
And that's where things get interesting.
I sometimes see people look at the price of a collectible and say they can't understand how anybody could possibly pay that much for a toy.
But that's because it has no value to them.
I can almost guarantee there's something they're interested in that does have value to them — cars, shoes, records, gaming, plants, antiques, sports memorabilia, tools, art… whatever it happens to be.
Someone else could look at that exact thing and wonder why on earth they'd spend money on it.
That's collecting.
Sometimes even I get it wrong
When I'm buying toys for Previously Played With, I generally don't stand there researching every individual item before deciding whether I'm interested.
I go by what I know, how popular something is and, quite often, gut feeling.
Then I research it properly later.
And sometimes I discover it's worth considerably less than I expected. 😂
It happens more often than you might think.
Usually there's nothing particularly mysterious about it. There simply isn't enough demand.
Then occasionally the complete opposite happens.
One that surprised me was a Strawberry Shortcake Strawberryland Deluxe Miniature Peach Blush.
That's part of what makes this job so interesting. Even after handling thousands of toys, something can still come along and surprise me.
Where you live can change everything
This is especially interesting when you're selling vintage toys in New Zealand.
Something might be everywhere in the United States but surprisingly difficult to find here.
Does that automatically make it valuable in NZ?
Nope.
If it's rare here but nobody here wants it, being difficult to find doesn't accomplish much.
But if it's difficult to find and there are collectors actively looking for it, that's a completely different story.
The opposite can happen too.
Something we see reasonably often in New Zealand might be much harder to find somewhere else.
So when I'm researching something for PPW, I'm looking at a combination of things — sold prices, condition, completeness, rarity, current availability, overseas prices and, importantly, whether there's actually demand for it.
You can't really look at one number and call it done.
That tiny missing piece might matter more than you'd think
Completeness can make an enormous difference.
A toy might originally have come with a hat, comb, saddle, weapon, tiny piece of food, sticker, instruction sheet or some ridiculous little plastic accessory that approximately 97% of children immediately lost. 😂
Thirty years later, collectors are trying to put complete examples back together.
That's why two examples of seemingly the same toy can have very different values.
But incomplete doesn't mean worthless.
We sell incomplete toys and accessories at PPW too. Sometimes someone just wants the toy and doesn't care about having every original piece.
And sometimes that random little accessory is exactly what another collector needs to complete theirs.
One person's incomplete toy can become another person's missing piece.
And then there's the box…
Collectors already know where this is going.
Take a loose toy.
Now put some cardboard and plastic around it.
Apparently we've created money. 😂
Of course, there's more to it than that. Original packaging is one of the first things that disappeared when toys were opened, so finding something decades later still sealed in its original packaging can be considerably harder than finding the toy itself.
Sealed examples are definitely worth more, and sometimes the difference is surprising.
Personally, I'm quite happy collecting loose toys. I prefer complete examples where possible and I'll happily upgrade something in my collection if I find a better one later.
But there's no denying what original packaging can do to market value.
Asking $500 doesn't mean it's worth $500
This is another important one.
If you're researching something online and find somebody asking $500 for it, that does not necessarily mean you own a $500 toy.
Anyone can ask anything.
What matters much more is what people are actually paying.
That's why sold prices are useful when they're available. They show that somebody was genuinely prepared to hand over money for that item at that price.
Even then, you still need context.
Was it complete? Sealed? Damaged? Was it the same variation? Was it sold in New Zealand or overseas? Was there unusually high demand at the time?
Valuing collectibles involves considerably more detective work than finding the highest number on Google.
Sentimental value is real — but it's not market value
This is probably the hardest part of valuing childhood belongings.
Something can be priceless to you.
Maybe it was your favourite childhood toy. Maybe your grandparents gave it to you. Maybe you remember carrying it everywhere. Maybe seeing it again instantly takes you somewhere you haven't thought about in decades.
That matters.
But unfortunately, it doesn't determine what somebody else will pay for it.
People sometimes price things based on their personal connection to them, and that's simply not how market value works.
If something means so much to you that the amount you'd need to part with it is far above what anyone would reasonably pay, there's absolutely nothing wrong with that.
It probably just means you shouldn't sell it.
Because you can't really put a price on what something means to you.
But unfortunately, you also can't use what it means to you to put a price on it.
And maybe that's what makes collecting old toys so interesting.
Their value isn't determined by one thing.
It's age, rarity, demand, condition, completeness, location, nostalgia and sometimes a tiny plastic accessory everyone lost in 1992.
And every now and then, despite everything you think you know, a little Strawberry Shortcake toy comes along and surprises you anyway. 😂
Now I want to know — what's something from your childhood you were shocked to discover was valuable? Or something you were convinced would be valuable that turned out to be worth almost nothing? 👇